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What role does supply contract design play in battery pricing?

In its Battery Update, Fraunhofer ISI points out which role the design of supply contracts plays in pricing and how the changes in raw material prices affect the costs of different lithium-ion battery technologies. Falling costs for battery cells have long been perceived as an essential condition for the widespread success of electromobility.

Which battery raw materials have experienced significant price fluctuations over the past 5 years?

Battery raw materials like lithium carbonate (Li 2 CO 3), lithium hydroxide (LiOH), nickel (Ni) and cobalt (Co) have experienced significant price fluctuations over the past five years. Figures 1 and 2 show the development of material spot prices between 2018 and 2023.

What factors influence the price of battery materials?

The materials under investigation are predominantly used in the battery value chain, so that the dynamics are essentially shaped by battery demand and the expansion of production capacities for materials. Their price therefore particularly reflects market factors such as supply and demand fluctuations.

What contributes to the cost of battery cells?

The largest single contributor to the cost of battery cells is the materials used in them, especially the cathode materials. In addition to lithium, the transition metals manganese, iron, cobalt and nickel are used in particular.

Are battery prices going down?

Prices for key battery raw materials have been subject to enormous fluctuations over the past two years, putting an end, at least temporarily, to the trend of falling battery cell costs.

How does vertical integration affect battery production costs?

Although production costs for raw materials have also increased, e.g. due to rising energy costs, they are still likely to be well below market prices for the vast majority of mining projects. This type of vertical integration, driven by OEMs, can therefore lead to lower manufacturing costs for batteries in the long term.

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