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Why are lithium-ion battery pack prices rising?

BloombergNEF (BNEF) has noticed that raw material and battery component prices have been rising steadily since it began tracking the market in 2010, aided by soaring inflation, and this has now led to the first ever increase in lithium-ion battery pack prices over that time period. Courtesy of NREL.

Did battery prices increase 7% from 2021 to 2022?

BloombergNEF’s annual battery price survey finds prices increased by 7% from 2021 to 2022 New York, December 6, 2022 – Rising raw material and battery component prices and soaring inflation have led to the first ever increase in lithium-ion battery pack prices since BloombergNEF (BNEF) began tracking the market in 2010.

Why are lithium-ion batteries so expensive in 2022?

Courtesy of NREL. After more than a decade of declines, volume-weighted average prices for lithium-ion battery packs across all sectors have increased to $151/kWh in 2022, a 7 percent rise from last year in real terms. The upward cost pressure on batteries outpaced the higher adoption of lower cost chemistries like lithium iron phosphate (LFP).

Why are battery costs falling?

Over the past 30 years, battery costs have fallen by a dramatic 99 percent; meanwhile, the density of top-tier cells has risen fivefold. As is the case for many modular technologies, the more batteries we deploy, the cheaper they get, which in turn fuels more deployment. For every doubling of deployment, battery costs have fallen by 19 percent.

How will rising commodity prices affect the battery industry?

However, the impact of rising commodity prices and increased costs for key materials such as electrolytes has put pressure on the industry in the second half of the year. These prices are an average across multiple battery end-uses, including different types of electric vehicles, buses and stationary storage projects.

Will higher battery prices hurt energy storage projects?

Higher battery prices could also hurt the economics of energy storage projects. Yayoi Sekine, head of energy storage at BNEF, said: “Despite a setback on price declines, battery demand is still reaching new records each year. Demand will reach 603GWh in 2022, which is almost double that in 2021.

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